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Nvidia Eyes Its Biggest-Ever Bet on OpenAI With $20B Investment as AI Arms Race Escalates

by Team Lumida
February 4, 2026
in AI
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Nvidia’s AI Demand Surge: Hon Hai Ramps Up Server Production
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Key takeaways

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  • Nvidia is close to investing $20B in OpenAI — its largest investment ever.
  • OpenAI is seeking up to $100B in new funding, signaling unprecedented capital intensity in next-generation AI development.
  • Other major backers in talks include Amazon and SoftBank Group.
  • The deal comes after reports of tension between Nvidia and OpenAI, highlighting how strategic — and fragile — AI partnerships have become.

What Happened?

Nvidia is nearing a deal to invest roughly $20 billion in OpenAI as part of the AI company’s latest mega funding round. OpenAI is aiming to raise as much as $100 billion overall, with large tech firms expected to anchor the round. The move would mark Nvidia’s biggest investment to date and further tighten the relationship between the world’s dominant AI chip supplier and one of the most influential AI model developers.


Why It Matters?

This is vertical integration of the AI economy in real time. Nvidia doesn’t just sell the compute powering AI — it is now becoming a major financial stakeholder in the companies consuming that compute. That strengthens demand visibility for Nvidia’s chips while giving it strategic influence across the AI value chain.

For OpenAI, the scale of fundraising underscores how AI leadership is now limited by access to capital and infrastructure, not just research talent. Training frontier models and deploying AI services at global scale now requires tens of billions in sustained investment — creating a moat around players that can secure hyperscaler and semiconductor backing.

For markets, this also reinforces a key theme: AI is shifting from a software story into a capital-intensive industrial race, closer to telecom buildouts or cloud infrastructure cycles than traditional tech startups.


What’s Next?

Investors should watch whether OpenAI successfully closes near its $100B target and how much strategic control major backers gain in return. Nvidia’s growing role as both supplier and investor will also attract regulatory and competitive scrutiny over time.

More broadly, expect escalating capital raises across top AI labs, deeper vertical partnerships between chipmakers, cloud providers, and model developers — and rising barriers to entry that could concentrate AI power among a small group of ultra-capitalized firms.

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
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