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Shell’s Upstream Production to Decline in Q2 Amid Maintenance and Asset Sale in Nigeria

by Team Lumida
July 7, 2025
in Markets
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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low angle photography of Shell gas station at night

Photo by Marc Rentschler on Unsplash

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Key Takeaways:

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  1. Production Decline: Shell expects Q2 upstream production to fall to 1.66–1.76 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d), down from 1.855 million boe/d in Q1.
  2. Scheduled Maintenance Impact: The decline is partly due to scheduled maintenance activities affecting output.
  3. Asset Sale in Nigeria: The completed sale of Shell Petroleum Development Company (SPDC) assets in Nigeria also contributed to the production drop.

What Happened?

Shell announced that its upstream production for the second quarter of 2025 is expected to decline to 1.66–1.76 million boe/d, compared to 1.855 million boe/d in the first quarter. The reduction is attributed to scheduled maintenance and the divestment of SPDC assets in Nigeria, which was finalized earlier this year.


Why It Matters?

The decline in production highlights the challenges Shell faces in maintaining output amid asset sales and operational downtime. While the company’s divestment strategy aligns with its broader focus on streamlining operations and reducing carbon emissions, it underscores the trade-offs between asset optimization and short-term production levels.

For investors, the production drop may raise concerns about Shell’s ability to meet its upstream targets, though the company’s focus on portfolio restructuring and energy transition could yield long-term benefits.


What’s Next?

Shell’s Q2 earnings report will provide further insights into the financial impact of the production decline and the company’s progress in executing its energy transition strategy. Analysts will also monitor how Shell balances asset divestments with maintaining production stability in the coming quarters.

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

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