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Home News Macro

Trump Extends China Trade Truce for 90 Days, Averting Tariff Hike

by Team Lumida
August 12, 2025
in Macro
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Fed Official Warns of Inflation Risks Under Trump Presidency

"Donald Trump" by Gage Skidmore is licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0

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Key Takeaways

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  • President Trump extended the pause on higher tariffs on Chinese goods for 90 days, delaying a tariff increase set for August 13 to November 10.
  • The extension stabilizes trade relations between the US and China, allowing more time to negotiate unresolved issues like fentanyl-related duties and Chinese purchases of sanctioned Russian and Iranian oil.
  • Both the US and China agreed to maintain all other terms of the existing trade agreement during the extension.
  • The truce may pave the way for a potential Trump visit to China and a meeting with President Xi Jinping in late October.
  • Despite the truce, tensions remain over issues such as rare earth exports, AI chip sales, and trade reciprocity.
  • Nvidia and AMD have deals with the US government to sell certain AI chips to China, but Beijing has urged firms to avoid using Nvidia’s H20 chip for government purposes.

What’s Happening?

President Trump signed an order extending the tariff truce with China for another 90 days, preventing a scheduled tariff hike on Chinese goods. This move follows months of tit-for-tat tariff escalations that disrupted global markets. The extension keeps existing tariff rates in place and provides breathing room for further negotiations on contentious issues including drug trafficking-related tariffs and concerns over China’s oil imports from sanctioned countries. The agreement coincides with ongoing diplomatic efforts and may facilitate a high-profile meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping.

Why Does It Matter?

The extension reduces immediate risks of a renewed trade war that could further disrupt global supply chains and financial markets. It signals a willingness from both sides to engage diplomatically despite deep-seated disagreements. The truce also impacts key industries such as technology and rare earth minerals, which are critical to national security and economic competitiveness. However, unresolved issues and regulatory pressures, including China’s restrictions on Nvidia chips, highlight the fragility of the agreement.

What’s Next?

Negotiations will continue on outstanding trade and security concerns, with close attention on rare earth exports, AI chip sales, and enforcement of tariff terms. The potential Trump-Xi meeting in October could shape the future trajectory of US-China relations. Market participants will monitor developments for signs of either renewed tensions or progress toward a more stable trade framework. The US will also balance trade policy with national security priorities amid ongoing geopolitical competition.

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

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