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Home News Macro

Hedge Funds Bet Big on Yen: What You Need to Know

by Team Lumida
August 17, 2024
in Macro
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Key Takeaways

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  1. Hedge funds increase yen positions after carry trade issues.
  2. Yen’s rise linked to global economic uncertainty.
  3. Watch for yen’s impact on international markets.

What Happened?

Hedge funds have become bullish on the Japanese yen, significantly increasing their positions. This shift follows a recent blow-up in the carry trade, where investors borrow in low-yielding currencies like the yen to invest in higher-yielding assets.

According to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), net long positions in the yen surged to 33,000 contracts, up from 10,000 just a few weeks ago. This marks the highest level of bullish positions in over a year.

Why It Matters?

The yen’s newfound favor among hedge funds signals a shift in market sentiment. The carry trade unwinding suggests growing global economic uncertainty, pushing investors towards safer assets.

Japan’s yen is traditionally seen as a safe haven during turbulent times. When hedge funds pivot to the yen, it indicates they anticipate more volatility or economic downturns ahead. This trend can impact not only currency markets but also international investments and trade balances.

What’s Next?

Expect the yen to strengthen further if global economic conditions remain unstable. Investors should monitor central bank policies, particularly from the Bank of Japan, for any changes that might influence the yen’s value.

Additionally, watch for ripple effects on international markets as a stronger yen could affect export-driven economies and multinational companies. Keep an eye on hedge fund strategies and their market moves, as their actions often foreshadow broader economic trends.

Source: Bloomberg
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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018