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Home News Crypto

Bitcoin Drops as Fed Rate Cut Hopes Fade

by Team Lumida
July 25, 2025
in Crypto
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Bitcoin Could Drop to $50K Before a Potential Fed-Driven Rally

"Bitcoin, bitcoin coin, physical bitcoin, bitcoin photo" by antanacoins is licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0

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Key Takeaways:

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  1. Price Pullback: Bitcoin fell to $115,122—its lowest since July 11—after hitting a record $123,205 last week. Ether and XRP also declined, mirroring weakness in broader risk assets.
  2. Fed Policy Impact: Stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data reduced expectations for imminent Fed rate cuts, dampening investor appetite for crypto and ending a seven-day rally in Asian stocks.
  3. Market Sentiment: Momentum in Bitcoin has cooled, with traders turning cautious. A large bearish options bet on a drop to $110,000 by August 8 signals some expect further downside.
  4. Technical Resistance: Analysts see consolidation ahead, with Bitcoin struggling to break above the $125,000 trendline that capped last week’s advance.
  5. Uptrend Intact: Despite the pullback, the broader uptrend remains, but near-term volatility is likely as macroeconomic factors drive sentiment.

What Happened?

Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies declined as hopes for U.S. interest rate cuts faded following strong jobs data. The move triggered risk-off sentiment across markets, with some traders hedging against further downside. Technical resistance and cautious positioning are likely to keep Bitcoin rangebound in the near term.


Why It Matters?

Crypto prices remain highly sensitive to U.S. monetary policy and macroeconomic data. Shifts in Fed expectations can quickly alter risk appetite, driving volatility in digital assets and related investment products.


What’s Next?

Watch for further signals from the Fed, jobs data, and technical levels around$110,000$125,000. Crypto markets may remain choppy until there’s more clarity on the interest rate outlook.

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018