Key Takeaways:
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- Bitcoin’s market capitalization crossed $2 trillion, with prices exceeding $100,000 for the first time since January 2025.
- On-chain data shows strong interest from first-time buyers, driven by retail FOMO (fear of missing out), as the First-Time Buyers RSI remains at 100.
- Momentum buyers remain weak, with a 30-day RSI of 11, and profit-taking activity is rising, signaling potential price consolidation.
- Analysts are watching upcoming U.S. inflation data for further market direction.
What Happened?
Bitcoin’s market cap surged past $2 trillion last week, driven by a price rally that saw BTC exceed $100,000. This milestone has triggered a wave of new buyers entering the market, as on-chain data from Glassnode indicates strong demand from first-time investors. The 30-day relative strength index (RSI) for first-time buyers has held steady at 100, reflecting heightened retail interest.
However, seasoned investors and momentum traders are treading cautiously. Momentum buyers, who typically capitalize on established trends, show weak activity with an RSI of 11. Additionally, profit-taking behavior is increasing, suggesting that some investors are locking in gains, which could lead to a price consolidation or pullback if fresh inflows slow.
Why It Matters?
Bitcoin’s $2 trillion market cap is a significant psychological and market milestone, signaling renewed interest in the cryptocurrency space. The influx of first-time buyers highlights retail enthusiasm, but the lack of momentum from experienced traders raises questions about the sustainability of the rally.
The market’s next moves could hinge on macroeconomic factors, including the release of U.S. inflation data. A favorable inflation report could further boost Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation, while unfavorable data might dampen investor sentiment.
What’s Next?
Investors should monitor the behavior of momentum buyers and profit-takers, as their activity will likely determine whether Bitcoin consolidates or continues its upward trajectory. The upcoming U.S. inflation data could act as a catalyst for further price movement.
Additionally, the broader crypto market’s performance and institutional inflows will be critical in sustaining Bitcoin’s $2 trillion market cap. Retail investors should exercise caution, as FOMO-driven buying can lead to heightened volatility and potential corrections.