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Home News Crypto

Bitcoin Traders Anticipate Breakout as Market Consolidates Near $3 Trillion and Tariff Deals Progress

by Team Lumida
May 1, 2025
in Crypto
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Bitcoin Could Drop to $50K Before a Potential Fed-Driven Rally

"Bitcoin, bitcoin coin, physical bitcoin, bitcoin photo" by antanacoins is licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0

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Key Takeaways:

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  • Bitcoin (BTC) is consolidating between $93,000 and $95,000, with analysts predicting a potential breakout fueled by prolonged consolidation and whale activity.
  • The crypto market cap is nearing $3 trillion, with altcoins like XRP, ADA, and DOGE showing slight declines, while BTC and ETH remain stable.
  • Spot bitcoin ETFs saw a $56 million outflow on Wednesday, breaking an eight-day streak of inflows totaling nearly $3 billion.
  • Analysts suggest that negative funding rates, a rare occurrence, indicate whale accumulation, which could lead to a strong upward move in BTC.
  • Macroeconomic factors, including President Trump’s progress on tariff deals with South Korea, India, Japan, and China, are influencing market sentiment.

What Happened?

The crypto market remains in a consolidation phase, with bitcoin hovering near $95,000 and the total market cap approaching $3 trillion. Analysts believe the prolonged consolidation, combined with rare negative funding rates, signals a potential breakout for BTC.

Spot bitcoin ETFs experienced a $56 million outflow on Wednesday, ending a streak of nearly $3 billion in inflows over the past eight days. Despite this, analysts like Alex Kuptsikevich of FxPro and Pat Zhang of WOO X suggest that whale activity and accumulation are building momentum for a significant upward move.

Macroeconomic factors are also at play, with traders closely monitoring President Trump’s tariff negotiations. Trump announced progress on deals with South Korea, India, and Japan, while signaling that a deal with China is moving in his favor. These developments could impact global market sentiment and provide a catalyst for crypto markets.


Why It Matters?

Bitcoin’s consolidation near $95,000 and the broader crypto market’s approach to $3 trillion highlight the growing anticipation of a breakout. Rare negative funding rates, which have historically preceded strong upward trends, suggest that institutional investors and whales are positioning for a potential rally.

The progress in U.S. tariff negotiations adds another layer of complexity, as macroeconomic developments could influence risk-on sentiment in global markets, including crypto. If Trump’s tariff deals materialize, they could provide a positive backdrop for broader market movements.

For investors, the current consolidation phase presents an opportunity to assess market conditions and prepare for potential volatility as BTC approaches key resistance levels.


What’s Next?

Analysts are eyeing Friday’s U.S. labor market data as a potential trigger for market movements. A breakout above the $95,000 level could pave the way for BTC to test the $3.5 trillion market cap area, with altcoins likely to follow suit.

Meanwhile, traders will continue to monitor macroeconomic developments, particularly Trump’s tariff negotiations, for further signals that could impact market sentiment.

As whale activity intensifies and consolidation persists, the crypto market appears poised for a decisive move in the coming days.


Source
Tags: Bitcoin
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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
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