Key Takeaways:
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- BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) experienced a record daily outflow of $418.1 million, coinciding with Bitcoin’s price drop to $82,000.
- Total outflows from all U.S. spot-listed Bitcoin ETFs reached $754.6 million on Wednesday, with $3.6 billion in outflows since February 7.
- Trading volume for IBIT hit $4.19 billion, making it the sixth-highest traded ETF in the U.S. during the session.
- Open interest on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) dropped to its lowest level since November, signaling the unwinding of the basis trade.
What Happened?
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) saw a record-breaking outflow of $418.1 million on Wednesday, as Bitcoin’s price fell to $82,000. This contributed to a total outflow of $754.6 million across all U.S. spot-listed Bitcoin ETFs on the same day. Since February 7, cumulative outflows from these ETFs have reached $3.6 billion, reflecting a broader trend of declining investor interest.
During the session, IBIT recorded $4.19 billion in trading volume, making it the sixth-most traded ETF in the U.S. Meanwhile, open interest on Bitcoin futures at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) dropped to 155,270 BTC, the lowest level since November. This decline in open interest indicates that the basis trade—a popular arbitrage strategy—is beginning to unwind.
Why It Matters?
The record outflows from BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF and other spot-listed ETFs highlight a shift in market sentiment as Bitcoin’s price volatility increases. The unwinding of the basis trade, a strategy that relies on the price difference between spot and futures markets, suggests that institutional investors are pulling back from leveraged positions.
For investors, this signals a potential cooling-off period in Bitcoin’s recent rally, which had driven prices to new highs earlier this year. The drop in CME open interest further underscores reduced institutional activity, which could lead to lower liquidity and increased price volatility in the near term.
This development also raises questions about the sustainability of Bitcoin ETFs as a vehicle for institutional investment, particularly during periods of heightened market uncertainty.
What’s Next?
Investors should monitor Bitcoin’s price movements and the performance of Bitcoin ETFs closely, as further outflows could exacerbate market volatility. The unwinding of the basis trade may continue to pressure Bitcoin futures markets, potentially leading to further declines in open interest and trading volume.
Additionally, the broader cryptocurrency market could face headwinds if institutional investors remain cautious. Watch for any regulatory developments or macroeconomic factors that could influence Bitcoin’s price trajectory and the demand for Bitcoin ETFs.