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BOJ Raises Rates to 15-Year High as Japan’s Economic Recovery Gains Momentum

by Team Lumida
January 24, 2025
in Macro
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Why Berkshire’s Latest Yen Bond Sale Could Ignite the Japanese Market
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Key Takeaways:

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• BOJ raises overnight call rate to 0.5%, highest since 2008
• Inflation forecast adjusted upward to 2.7% for fiscal year 2025
• Market reaction relatively stable with yen trading around 155.10 against dollar
• Bank signals potential for further rate increases based on economic performance

What Happened?

The Bank of Japan executed its third rate hike since March, increasing the overnight call rate from 0.25% to 0.5%. This decision follows the end of Japan’s negative interest rate policy and reflects growing confidence in the country’s economic recovery. The move was largely anticipated by markets, following signals from BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda and his deputies. The bank also revised its inflation outlook upward, projecting 2.7% for fiscal year 2025.

Why It Matters?

This rate hike represents a significant shift in Japan’s monetary policy and signals the central bank’s confidence in the country’s economic recovery. The decision is particularly noteworthy as it comes amid stable market conditions following President Trump’s return to office. The BOJ’s actions indicate progress toward its goal of achieving stable 2% inflation and wage-backed growth, marking a potential end to decades of economic stagnation. The move also demonstrates the bank’s careful balance between supporting growth and managing inflation expectations.

What’s Next?

Analysts expect the BOJ to maintain a measured approach to future rate increases, with potential hikes occurring approximately every six months. The next increase to 0.75% would mark uncharted territory, not seen in 30 years, suggesting a more cautious approach may be taken. Markets will closely monitor wage trends and inflation data, as these factors will likely influence the timing and magnitude of future rate adjustments. The bank’s projection period through March 2027 suggests a continued focus on achieving sustainable inflation levels consistent with its 2% target.

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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018