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China Reaffirms 2025 Growth Target Amid Trade Tensions and Global Uncertainty

by Team Lumida
April 26, 2025
in News
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Key Takeaways:

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  • China’s Finance Minister Lan Fo’an pledged to adopt proactive macroeconomic policies to achieve the country’s 2025 growth target of around 5%, despite escalating trade tensions.
  • China’s GDP grew 5.4% in the last quarter, supported by consumer subsidies and an export surge ahead of U.S. tariffs.
  • Economists from UBS, Goldman Sachs, and others have lowered their 2025 growth forecasts for China to around 4% or lower, citing trade and economic challenges.
  • People’s Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng criticized U.S. tariffs, calling them a violation of global trade norms, and emphasized China’s commitment to free trade and economic stability.
  • China plans to implement more effective macroeconomic policies to sustain growth and contribute to global economic stability.

What Happened?

China’s Finance Minister Lan Fo’an reaffirmed the country’s commitment to achieving its 2025 economic growth target of around 5%, despite rising trade tensions and global uncertainties. Speaking in Washington during the spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, Lan criticized trade protectionism and emphasized China’s openness to global trade.

China’s GDP grew 5.4% in the last quarter, driven by consumer subsidies and a surge in exports ahead of U.S. tariffs. However, economists from major institutions, including UBS and Goldman Sachs, have recently lowered their growth forecasts for China to around 4% or lower, reflecting concerns about the impact of trade tensions and slowing global demand.

People’s Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng echoed Lan’s sentiments, criticizing U.S. tariffs for infringing on the rights of other nations and pledging more proactive macroeconomic policies to stabilize China’s economy.


Why It Matters?

China’s reaffirmation of its growth target highlights its determination to navigate the challenges posed by U.S. tariffs and global economic uncertainty. The country’s proactive approach, including consumer subsidies and export strategies, has helped sustain growth in the short term, but long-term challenges remain.

The lowered growth forecasts from global financial institutions underscore the difficulties China faces in maintaining its economic momentum amid trade tensions and a weakening global economy. The criticism of U.S. tariffs by Chinese officials also reflects the broader geopolitical tensions shaping global trade dynamics.

China’s ability to achieve its growth target will have significant implications for the global economy, as the country remains a key driver of international trade and investment.


What’s Next?

China is expected to roll out more proactive macroeconomic policies to sustain growth, including measures to boost domestic consumption and counter the impact of tariffs. The government’s ability to balance short-term stimulus with long-term structural reforms will be critical in achieving its growth target.

Global markets will closely monitor China’s economic performance and policy measures, as well as the ongoing trade tensions with the U.S. Any further escalation in tariffs or trade restrictions could pose additional risks to China’s growth outlook and global economic stability.

For now, China’s commitment to its growth target signals its determination to remain a stabilizing force in the global economy, despite the challenges ahead.

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

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