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Home News Macro

Fed Signals ‘Hawkish Cut’ Amid Trump Transition and Economic Strength

by Team Lumida
December 18, 2024
in Macro
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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September Rate Cut Likely as Job Market Risks Increase, Says Fed

"Federal Reserve Bank of New York Building" by epicharmus is licensed under CC BY 2.0

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Key Takeaways:

Powered by lumidawealth.com
• Expected 25 basis point cut to 4.25%-4.50% range
• Market anticipating slower rate reduction pace for 2025
• Strong economic data and Trump policies creating uncertainty
• Inflation remains above 2% target despite earlier measures

What Happened?


The Federal Reserve is poised to implement a “hawkish cut” – lowering rates while maintaining a cautious stance on future reductions. This marks a full percentage point decrease from September levels, but with significant uncertainty about the pace of future cuts given strong economic indicators and the incoming Trump administration’s potential policy impacts.

Why It Matters?

  • Signals shift in monetary policy approach
  • Reflects complex economic environment
  • Responds to political transition uncertainties
  • Balances inflation concerns with growth
  • Impacts market expectations for 2025

What’s Next?

  1. Fed’s updated economic projections
  2. Powell’s press conference messaging
  3. Impact of Trump’s economic policies
  4. January 28-29 Fed meeting decisions
  5. Inflation trajectory
  6. Market reaction to hawkish guidance
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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018