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Google Sets Ambitious 500M User Target for Gemini AI as Battle with ChatGPT Intensifies

by Team Lumida
January 16, 2025
in AI
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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Alphabet $GOOGL Q2 2024 Results
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Key Takeaways:

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• Google targets 500M Gemini users by end of 2025, compared to ChatGPT’s current 300M weekly users
• Gemini app lags in downloads (106M vs ChatGPT’s 465M) but leads recent technical rankings
• 60% retention rate for premium subscribers, trailing OpenAI and Anthropic
• Company integrating Gemini across all Google products with 2B+ users

What Happened?

Google CEO Sundar Pichai has announced an aggressive growth target for Gemini, aiming to reach 500 million users by the end of 2025. Despite recent technical improvements that put Gemini ahead of ChatGPT in industry rankings, the platform currently trails significantly in user adoption, ranking 54th in iPhone app downloads compared to ChatGPT’s 4th position.

Why It Matters?

This push represents Google’s strategic response to maintain its tech leadership position in the AI era. While Gemini isn’t yet a significant revenue generator compared to Google’s $65.9B quarterly ad business, it’s crucial for the company’s future as AI reshapes core search and advertising operations. The integration of Gemini across Google’s ecosystem, including Gmail and Google Drive, signals a comprehensive approach to AI adoption and monetization.

What’s Next?

Watch for aggressive expansion of Gemini’s capabilities and integration across Google’s product suite. The company’s recent reorganization moving Gemini to Google DeepMind suggests faster feature deployment. Key metrics to monitor include user adoption rates, premium subscription growth, and success in securing default assistant status on more Android devices. The competition with ChatGPT will likely intensify as both platforms enhance their capabilities and pursue broader market share.

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

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