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Microsoft’s Data-Center Crunch to Persist Into 2026

by Team Lumida
October 10, 2025
in AI
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Microsoft’s AI Empire: Nadella’s Bold Moves and Billion-Dollar Bets

Source: Microsoft

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Key Takeaways

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  • Microsoft faces ongoing shortages of physical space and servers in key U.S. data center regions, including Northern Virginia and Texas, restricting new Azure cloud subscriptions through mid-2026.
  • The shortage affects both AI-focused GPU machines and traditional CPU-based cloud infrastructure.
  • Azure remains Microsoft’s fastest-growing segment, generating over $75 billion in fiscal 2025, outpacing competitors Amazon and Google.
  • Microsoft is balancing demand by redirecting customers to less constrained regions and implementing capacity preservation methods.
  • The company is investing heavily in data center capacity, adding over two gigawatts of power in the past year, but demand—especially from AI workloads like OpenAI’s—is outpacing supply.
  • Supply chain delays for critical components and infrastructure extend the timeline to bring new data centers online.
  • Capacity constraints have led some customers to limit workloads or consider alternative cloud providers.

What happened?

Microsoft’s internal forecasts reveal that data center capacity shortages in the U.S. will last longer than previously expected, extending into the first half of 2026. This impacts Azure’s ability to onboard new customers in key regions, driven by surging demand for AI and traditional cloud services.

Why it matters

Azure is a critical growth engine for Microsoft, and capacity constraints could limit revenue growth and customer acquisition. The shortage highlights the challenges cloud providers face in scaling infrastructure rapidly enough to meet explosive demand, especially from AI applications.

What’s next?

Investors should monitor Microsoft’s progress in expanding data center capacity and managing customer demand. Watch for potential impacts on Azure’s growth trajectory and competitive positioning versus Amazon and Google. Supply chain developments and infrastructure investments will be key to resolving the crunch.

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

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