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Nvidia’s Rally Powers Market Rebound: Are Rate Cuts Next?

by Team Lumida
October 9, 2024
in Equities, Markets
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Nvidia’s Rally Powers Market Rebound: Are Rate Cuts Next?
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Key Takeaways:

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Nvidia’s 14% rally led tech stocks higher, boosting the S&P 500 by 1%.

Fed rate cut speculations stabilize, easing Treasury selloff and impacting market volatility.

Oil prices dropped as China withheld new stimulus, affecting global energy stocks.

What Happened?

The world’s largest tech companies, notably Nvidia, propelled the stock market higher. Nvidia extended its rally to an impressive 14% over five days, leading the S&P 500 to rise by 1%. This surge helped equities close near their all-time highs.

The “Magnificent Seven” mega-cap stocks climbed 1.7%, while the VIX, a key volatility gauge, eased from its recent peak. Meanwhile, oil prices fell 4.6%, hitting $73.57 a barrel, following China’s decision to hold back on new stimulus measures. Treasury yields remained stable with the 10-year yield at 4.02%.

Why It Matters?

Nvidia’s performance highlights the resilience of tech stocks, which are crucial for sustaining market momentum. Craig Johnson from Piper Sandler advises investors to utilize market pullbacks to strengthen positions, indicating confidence in future growth.

Federal Reserve discussions suggest a cautious approach to rate cuts, impacting investor expectations and market dynamics. As Mark Haefele from UBS notes, the global rate-cutting cycle isn’t concluding, suggesting opportunities for strategic positioning.

Oil’s decline, coupled with China’s lack of new stimulus, signals potential volatility in energy markets and could influence global economic recovery.

What’s Next?

Investors should watch the upcoming earnings season as it could shape market trends. Policymaker comments and data releases will likely influence Fed rate decisions. The market remains uncertain, as highlighted by Mohamed El-Erian’s observation of volatile rate cut probabilities.

Ray Dalio’s caution on bonds underscores the need for vigilance in fixed-income investments. In the corporate sphere, Boeing’s production challenges and PepsiCo’s revised outlook could impact their stock performance.

Upcoming Fed minutes and economic indicators, like CPI and jobless claims, will be pivotal in determining future market movements.

Source: Bloomberg
Tags: NvidiaTech Stocks
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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

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