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Home News Macro

September Rate Cut Likely as Job Market Risks Increase, Says Fed

by Team Lumida
August 1, 2024
in Macro
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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September Rate Cut Likely as Job Market Risks Increase, Says Fed

"Federal Reserve Bank of New York Building" by epicharmus is licensed under CC BY 2.0

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Key Takeaways:

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  1. Fed likely to cut rates in September to support job market.
  2. Job market risks prompt Fed’s consideration of rate cuts.
  3. Economic slowdown and trade tensions drive Fed’s rate decision.

What Happened?

The Federal Reserve has signaled a likely interest rate cut in September due to increasing risks in the job market. Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlighted concerns over economic growth and trade tensions affecting employment.

The current unemployment rate is at 3.7%, but job creation has slowed, with only 130,000 jobs added in August, missing the forecast of 150,000. Fed’s recent Beige Book report also noted weaker business investment and slowing manufacturing activity.

Why It Matters?

A rate cut could lower borrowing costs, encouraging businesses to invest and hire more workers, thus supporting the job market. Investors often view rate cuts as positive, boosting stock markets.

However, persistent economic slowdown and trade wars can counteract these benefits. If the job market weakens further, consumer spending—key to the economy—could drop, leading to broader economic challenges.

What’s Next?

Expect the Fed to closely monitor upcoming economic data, especially employment and inflation reports, before finalizing the rate cut decision. Investors should watch for signs of economic stabilization or further slowdown.

Potential impacts on sectors like manufacturing and trade-dependent industries will be critical. Be prepared for market volatility as Fed’s decisions unfold and global trade tensions persist.

Source: Bloomberg
Tags: Federal Reserve
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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018