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Sticky Inflation Shakes Markets: What’s Next for Interest Rates?

by Team Lumida
October 11, 2024
in Macro, Markets
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Sticky Inflation Shakes Markets: What’s Next for Interest Rates?
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Key Takeaways:

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Inflation rose 2.4% year-over-year, slightly above forecasts.

Investors still expect a 25 basis point rate cut in November.

Higher inflation complicates rate cut expectations and impacts borrowing costs.

What Happened?

Inflation caught investors off guard in September, climbing 2.4% year-over-year, just above the expected 2.3%. Core CPI, excluding volatile sectors like food and energy, also rose slightly more than anticipated at 3.3%. As a result, all major indexes fell on Thursday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.14%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.21%, and the Nasdaq composite decreased by 0.05%. The disappointing inflation data followed a strong jobs report, sparking concerns of a “no landing” scenario—where robust economic growth continues to fuel inflation.

Why It Matters?

Higher-than-expected inflation could challenge the Federal Reserve’s plans to cut interest rates. Although traders still anticipate a 25 basis point reduction next month, sticky inflation complicates the economic landscape.

A “no landing” scenario suggests fewer or slower rate cuts, leading to prolonged higher borrowing costs. Bank of America analysts noted that only a significant inflation rise would pause rate cuts, but the current data isn’t enough to halt the Fed’s easing cycle.

Investors need to watch inflation trends closely, as they impact borrowing costs and overall economic health.

What’s Next?

You should keep an eye on the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting, where a 25 basis point rate cut is still expected. However, persistent inflation may slow future rate reductions, affecting borrowers and economic growth.

Additionally, pay attention to weekly jobless claims, which recently rose to 258,000, marking their highest level in over a year. These economic indicators will play a crucial role in shaping monetary policy and market movements.

The ongoing inflation challenge may shift consumer behavior and investment strategies, as borrowing remains costly.

Source: Markets Insider
Tags: InflationInterest Rates
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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018