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Tesla Stock Plunges After UBS Downgrade

by Team Lumida
July 12, 2024
in Markets
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Tesla Stock Plunges After UBS Downgrade

"Tesla Model S" by Daniel Piraino is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0

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Key Takeaways

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  1. Tesla stock fell 8.4% after UBS downgraded it to sell.
  2. UBS cited overvaluation and concerns over AI enthusiasm waning.
  3. Target price raised to $197, implying an 18% decline.

What Happened?

Tesla shares dropped 8.4% after UBS downgraded the stock from neutral to sell, citing concerns that its recent rally was driven by excessive optimism over artificial intelligence (AI) plans. Tesla’s stock, which had soared 44% through Wednesday, is now facing a reality check. The downgrade comes as Tesla postponed its robotaxi unveiling to October, seeking more time to develop additional prototypes. As of 4:30 a.m. in New York, Tesla was trading 1.6% lower in premarket trading.

Why It Matters?

Tesla’s downgrade by UBS highlights the risk of overvaluation in stocks tied to AI technology. UBS analysts, including Joseph Spak, expressed concerns that any loss of enthusiasm for AI could significantly impact Tesla’s stock multiple. Trading at over 80 times one-year forward estimated earnings, Tesla’s valuation far exceeds most of its megacap technology peers. The downgrade underscores a broader market sentiment where investors are becoming cautious about sky-high valuations, particularly in the AI sector. Tesla’s elevated stock price reflects not only its electric vehicle business but also the speculative premium assigned to its potential AI capabilities.

What’s Next?

Investors should brace for potential volatility as Tesla navigates the challenges ahead. UBS’s new 12-month target price for Tesla is $197, down from $147, implying an 18% decline from Thursday’s close. This adjustment uses a higher price-to-earnings multiple, reflecting the need for even greater future growth opportunities to justify current valuations. Watch for further developments in Tesla’s AI initiatives and electric vehicle sales, as these will be critical in determining whether the stock can sustain its lofty valuations. Economic conditions and market sentiment toward technology stocks will also play significant roles in shaping Tesla’s future performance.

Source: Bloomberg
Tags: AI enthusiasmteslaUBS
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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
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