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Trump Acknowledges Economic Turbulence Amid Sweeping Reforms, Declines to Rule Out Recession

by Team Lumida
March 10, 2025
in Markets
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Trump Announces 25% Tariffs on Mexico and Canada, Targeting Border Security and Trade

"Donald Trump" by Gage Skidmore is licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0

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Key Takeaways:

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  • President Trump’s economic agenda, including tariffs, spending cuts, and regulatory overhauls, is causing short-term uncertainty, with potential recession risks.
  • Stock markets have declined, with major indices below their levels at the start of Trump’s second term, reflecting investor unease.
  • Economists warn of weakening employment and reduced consumer spending, while government layoffs and funding uncertainties add to the challenges.
  • Trump remains optimistic, defending tariffs as a long-term strategy to strengthen the U.S. economy despite near-term disruptions.

What Happened?

President Trump, in a recent interview, declined to rule out the possibility of a U.S. recession in 2025, citing a “period of transition” as his administration implements sweeping economic reforms. His agenda includes new tariffs, spending cuts, immigration restrictions, and regulatory rollbacks. While the U.S. economy has shown resilience with steady job growth, early signs of strain are emerging, including reduced consumer spending and inflation concerns. Stock markets have faltered, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all trading below their levels at the start of Trump’s second term. The administration’s stop-and-start approach to tariffs, particularly with Mexico and Canada, has added to market uncertainty.


Why It Matters?

Trump’s economic policies are testing the resilience of the U.S. economy, which has enjoyed robust growth and low unemployment in recent years. However, the uncertainty surrounding tariffs and government spending cuts is weighing on business confidence and consumer sentiment. The stock market’s decline reflects investor concerns about the long-term impact of these policies. Economists warn that government layoffs, reduced funding, and trade disruptions could weaken employment and economic growth in the coming months. For businesses and investors, the unpredictability of Trump’s trade and fiscal policies adds a layer of risk to an already uncertain economic environment.


What’s Next?

Investors and businesses will closely monitor upcoming macroeconomic data, including employment trends and consumer spending, for signs of further economic strain. The Federal Reserve’s response to inflation and potential interest rate adjustments will also be critical. Additionally, the looming government funding deadline and the possibility of a government shutdown could exacerbate economic uncertainty. While Trump remains optimistic about the long-term benefits of his policies, the near-term outlook suggests continued volatility in markets and potential headwinds for the U.S. economy.

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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018