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Trump Proposes Aid-for-Minerals Deal with Ukraine Amid War Challenges

by Team Lumida
March 24, 2025
in Macro
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Trump Eyes Ukraine’s Metals, but Mining Them Comes with High Costs and Risks
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Key Takeaways:

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  • President Trump suggests exchanging U.S. military aid for access to Ukraine’s rare earth minerals, critical for high-tech industries.
  • Ukraine supports the idea but faces challenges as many mineral-rich areas are under Russian control or near conflict zones.
  • Rare earths, along with other valuable resources like lithium and titanium, are central to Ukraine’s “Victory Plan” to secure Western support.
  • Experts question the feasibility of mining these resources in the near term due to ongoing conflict and logistical hurdles.

What Happened?

President Trump has proposed a transactional approach to U.S. military aid for Ukraine, offering continued weapons support in exchange for access to Ukraine’s rare earth minerals and other valuable resources. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has expressed openness to the idea, incorporating it into his “Victory Plan” to retain Western backing. However, the majority of these resources, including rare earths essential for defense and renewable energy industries, are located in areas currently occupied by or threatened by Russian forces.


Why It Matters?

This proposal highlights the strategic importance of Ukraine’s natural resources in global supply chains, particularly as the U.S. seeks to reduce reliance on China for rare earths. For investors, this underscores the potential for future resource development in Ukraine, contingent on geopolitical stability. However, the feasibility of mining these resources remains uncertain due to the ongoing war, high extraction costs, and limited reserves compared to other countries. Additionally, Trump’s comments reflect a broader shift toward a more transactional U.S. foreign policy, which could influence future aid dynamics and international partnerships.


What’s Next?

The success of this plan hinges on the resolution of the conflict in Ukraine. A lasting peace deal would be necessary to access and develop these resources. Investors should monitor the progress of the war, U.S. foreign policy under Trump, and Ukraine’s ability to secure Western support. Additionally, the global rare earths market could see shifts if Ukraine’s resources become accessible, potentially impacting supply chains and pricing.

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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018