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Trump Tariffs Trigger Record £2 Billion Drop in UK Goods Exports to the U.S.

by Team Lumida
June 12, 2025
in Macro
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Fed Official Warns of Inflation Risks Under Trump Presidency

"Donald Trump" by Gage Skidmore is licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0

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Key Takeaways:

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  • UK goods exports to the U.S. fell by £2 billion $2.7 billion) in April 2025, marking the largest monthly decline since records began in 1997.
  • The drop is attributed to the implementation of U.S. tariffs, including a 10% tariff on all UK goods and higher 25% tariffs on steel, aluminum, and car imports.
  • Exports of machinery and transport equipment fell by £800 million, while chemical exports dropped by £300 million.
  • The UK’s total trade deficit widened by £4.9 billion to £11.5 billion in the three months to April 2025.

What Happened?

The UK experienced its largest-ever monthly decline in goods exports to the U.S. in April 2025, with shipments falling by £2 billion to £4.1 billion. This sharp drop followed the implementation of tariffs by President Donald Trump on April 2, dubbed “Liberation Day,” which imposed a 10% tariff on all UK goods and a 25% tariff on steel, aluminum, and car imports.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported decreases across most export categories, with machinery and transport equipment seeing an £800 million decline, largely due to reduced car shipments. Chemical exports also fell by £300 million.

While the UK and U.S. reached a deal on May 8 to lower car tariffs and remove tariffs on aluminum and steel, the new trade regime has yet to take effect.


Why It Matters?

The record drop in UK exports to the U.S. highlights the significant economic impact of Trump’s tariff policies on global trade. The U.S. is a key trading partner for the UK, and the tariffs have disrupted critical export sectors, including automotive and chemicals.

The widening trade deficit, which reached £11.5 billion in the three months to April, underscores the broader challenges facing the UK’s trade balance amid global economic uncertainty and protectionist policies.

The delay in implementing the May 8 trade agreement adds further pressure on UK exporters, who are already grappling with higher costs and reduced demand in the U.S. market.


What’s Next?

The UK will need to expedite the implementation of its trade agreement with the U.S. to mitigate the impact of tariffs on key export sectors. Policymakers will also need to explore alternative markets to reduce reliance on the U.S. and diversify trade relationships.

Businesses in affected sectors, such as automotive and chemicals, may need to adjust their supply chains and pricing strategies to remain competitive in the face of higher tariffs.

Meanwhile, the U.S.’s broader trade policies, including potential unilateral tariff adjustments by Trump, will continue to shape global trade dynamics, with ripple effects on economies like the UK.

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

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‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
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