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Home News Macro

Trump Team Plans to Control Venezuela’s Oil to Drive Prices Down and Counter Global Rivals

by Team Lumida
January 8, 2026
in Macro
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Key Takeaways:

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  • President Trump’s administration is working on a plan to control Venezuela’s oil reserves, aiming to lower oil prices to $50 per barrel.
  • The U.S. plans to exert influence over Venezuela’s state-run oil company, PdVSA, and acquire a significant portion of its oil production.
  • The move would boost U.S. influence in global oil markets while limiting Russia and China’s access to Venezuela’s vast oil reserves.
  • Venezuela’s oil infrastructure is in disrepair, and significant investment is required to boost production, which could take years.

What Happened?
President Trump’s team is planning an extensive initiative to take control of Venezuela’s oil, which would involve U.S. control over the state-run oil company, PdVSA. The goal is to lower global oil prices to $50 per barrel, benefiting U.S. consumers and reducing the influence of Russia and China in the region. The U.S. also aims to exert control over Venezuela’s vast oil reserves, which could enhance its energy dominance. U.S. oil sanctions have previously limited Venezuela’s production, but Trump’s plan would allow the U.S. to acquire and distribute Venezuela’s oil, potentially revitalizing the country’s oil sector.

Why It Matters?
Trump’s strategy could significantly reshape global oil markets, particularly in the Western Hemisphere. By controlling a large portion of Venezuela’s oil, the U.S. could reduce competition from Russian and Chinese influence, thus bolstering its geopolitical position. Lower oil prices would also benefit U.S. consumers, but the U.S. oil industry, particularly shale producers, may be negatively impacted if prices drop too low. However, Venezuela’s oil infrastructure is outdated, and restoring it would require considerable investment, which may take years to yield results.

What’s Next?
The U.S. will continue its negotiations with Venezuela’s interim government and oil companies like Chevron to take control of Venezuela’s oil production. The U.S. will also begin marketing the crude oil from Venezuela, with the first tranche expected to be 30-50 million barrels. However, substantial investment is needed to improve Venezuela’s oil infrastructure, and it may take years before the country’s oil production reaches its full potential. For now, the U.S. is taking a more prominent role in global oil markets, with potential long-term geopolitical and economic consequences.

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U.S. Oil Prices Drop as Venezuela Boosts Supply, But U.S. Oil Industry Faces Strain

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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018