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Trump vs. Harris: Who Will Balloon U.S. Debt More?

by Team Lumida
October 7, 2024
in Macro, Markets
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Trump vs. Harris: Who Will Balloon U.S. Debt More?
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Key Takeaways:

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  1. Trump’s economic plans could raise U.S. debt by $7.5 trillion by 2035.
  2. Harris’s proposals would increase the debt by $3.5 trillion over the same period.
  3. The debt-to-GDP ratio could reach 142% under Trump and 133% under Harris.

What Happened?

A new report from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) reveals that Donald Trump’s economic plans could increase the U.S. federal debt by $7.5 trillion by 2035. In contrast, Kamala Harris’s proposals are projected to raise the debt by $3.5 trillion.

Trump’s strategy includes lower taxes for individuals and businesses, heavy tariffs on imports, and mass deportations. Harris plans to expand tax credits for small businesses and improve access to affordable childcare and housing while increasing corporate taxes.

Why It Matters?

These projections highlight the potential fiscal impacts of the upcoming presidential election. With both candidates focusing on the economy, the CRFB warns of an “eventual fiscal crisis” if the debt continues to climb.

The report underscores the challenges the next president will face, including record debt levels, structural deficits, and surging interest payments. High debt burdens could slow economic growth and weaken national security, putting additional pressure on whoever takes office.

What’s Next?

As the election approaches, investors should monitor the evolving economic platforms of both candidates. The potential outcomes for the national debt vary widely, depending on which policies are enacted.

Harris’s plans could see the debt-to-GDP ratio rise to 133%, while Trump’s could push it to 142%. With the national debt already at 99% of GDP, these increases could have significant implications for the U.S. economy.

Keep an eye on how these proposals might shift in response to political pressures and economic conditions.

Source: Financial Times
Tags: Donald TrumpKamala Harris
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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
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