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Trump’s Economic Plans: A Boon or Bane for the Dollar?

by Team Lumida
October 14, 2024
in Macro, Markets
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Trump’s Economic Plans: A Boon or Bane for the Dollar?
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Key Takeaways:

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Trump’s advisor confirms support for a strong dollar, dismissing devaluation fears.

A strong dollar may limit gains in cryptocurrencies and other riskier assets.

Trump’s tariffs likely to be moderated, impacting trade dynamics and market stability.

What Happened?

Scott Bessent, a key economic advisor to Donald Trump, revealed that a potential Trump administration would support a strong U.S. dollar. Despite previous suggestions for a weaker dollar to boost manufacturing, Bessent assured the Financial Times that Trump wouldn’t deliberately devalue the dollar.

With Election Day approaching on November 5, Trump is gaining ground against Democrat Kamala Harris in prediction markets. Bessent also addressed Trump’s proposed inflationary tariffs, indicating these would likely be moderated through negotiations.

Why It Matters?

A strong dollar could significantly impact your investments. It generally caps gains in riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies, which are dollar-denominated.

If Trump wins, his administration’s support for a strong dollar aligns with a decades-long U.S. policy, ensuring stability for the dollar as a reserve currency. This position could reassure investors wary of currency devaluation and bolster confidence in the U.S. economy.

Bessent’s insights suggest that Trump’s economic approach may focus on sound policies rather than short-term gains through devaluation, potentially benefiting the broader market.

What’s Next?

Should Trump secure the presidency, watch for how his administration handles the proposed inflationary tariffs and their impact on international trade. Bessent hints at a strategy of “escalate to de-escalate,” suggesting initial tough trade positions may soften.

Investors should also monitor how the strong dollar policy affects the stock market and cryptocurrency valuations. Bessent, possibly a Treasury Secretary contender, could influence future economic decisions, steering them towards free trade principles.

As Election Day nears, staying informed on these developments will be crucial for making strategic investment decisions.

Source: Coin Desk
Tags: Donald Trumpstrong dollar policy
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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

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