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U.S. Expects China to Buy ‘Double-Digit Billions’ in Farm Goods Per Year From Beijing Summit

by Team Lumida
May 15, 2026
in Macro
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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  • USTR Jamieson Greer expects China to commit to “double-digit billion” dollars in annual U.S. agricultural purchases over three years — covering all ag categories, not just soybeans — as a headline deliverable from the Beijing summit.
  • Treasury Secretary Bessent separately floated a “Board of Trade” mechanism and mutual tariff cuts on roughly $30 billion of non-critical goods from each side to manage commercial ties going forward.
  • Greer downplayed Xi’s Taiwan warning, suggesting the tone in the room was less sharp than Chinese state media reported, and said he does not expect the Taiwan issue to interfere with the Board of Trade framework.
  • Semiconductor export controls were not a major bilateral meeting topic despite Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s last-minute inclusion in the delegation — though Huang did address both leaders.

What Happened?

U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer told Bloomberg Television on the sidelines of the Beijing summit that the U.S. expects China to agree to more than $10 billion per year in American agricultural purchases over the next three years — spanning the full range of ag products, not just soybeans. He framed this as a concrete deliverable from the Trump-Xi meetings. Separately, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent outlined a proposed “Board of Trade” mechanism: a structured forum to manage U.S.-China commercial ties by reducing tariffs on roughly $30 billion worth of non-critical, non-security-sensitive goods on each side. Greer also downplayed Xi’s public Taiwan warning, suggesting the rhetoric in the actual meeting was less confrontational than what Chinese state media conveyed.

Why It Matters?

The agriculture commitment — if realized — would be one of the largest structured purchase agreements in U.S.-China trade history and a significant win for American farmers who saw Chinese demand collapse during the 2025 tariff war. It also sets up a follow-on diplomatic architecture: the Board of Trade concept, if institutionalized, would create a regular mechanism to reduce friction on non-strategic goods, potentially offering a path to lower inflation for American consumers while preserving hard-line positions on semiconductors, AI, and defense-related supply chains. The key caveat: China has made and underdelivered on large purchase commitments before — most notably under the Phase 1 trade deal of 2020.

What’s Next?

The administration plans to solicit public comment on the Board of Trade concept after Trump returns, inviting industry input on which goods categories should be prioritized for tariff reductions. The follow-through on agricultural purchase commitments will be the first real test of summit substance over optics — watch for formal contract announcements from Chinese state buyers in the weeks ahead. Whether Jensen Huang’s presence in Beijing translates into any movement on Nvidia chip export controls — which were explicitly left off the bilateral agenda — will also be closely watched by markets.

Source: Bloomberg

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

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