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Home News Macro

US Economy Maintains Strong 2.7% Growth Pace, Widening Gap with Global Peers

by Team Lumida
January 26, 2025
in Macro
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Key Takeaways:

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• US GDP projected to grow 2.7% in Q4 2024, following two quarters of ~3% growth
• Consumer spending remains robust, exceeding 3% annualized pace
• Significant divergence from European economies, with France stagnating and Germany contracting
• Fed expected to maintain current rates with only two cuts projected for 2025

What Happened?

The US economy demonstrated remarkable resilience in the fourth quarter of 2024, with GDP growth projected at 2.7%. This performance, powered by strong consumer spending above 3% annualized pace, marks the continuation of robust economic momentum following two quarters of approximately 3% growth. The data emerges against the backdrop of the Federal Reserve’s first policy meeting of 2025, where rates are expected to remain steady.

Why It Matters?

This economic performance highlights the growing divergence between the US and other advanced economies. While the US maintains steady growth, European counterparts face significant challenges, with France showing stagnation and Germany experiencing contraction. The strong US consumer spending, supported by a healthy labor market, underscores the economy’s fundamental strength. This economic resilience provides the Fed with flexibility in managing monetary policy, though inflation concerns persist.

What’s Next?

Looking forward, attention will focus on several key areas. Monthly household spending figures are expected to show continued momentum into 2025, though loan delinquency rates among lower-income households warrant monitoring. The Fed’s projected two interest rate cuts in 2025 will be closely watched, especially given the stubborn inflation levels. The contrast with other major economies may widen further, as the European Central Bank and other global central banks consider rate cuts while the US maintains its steady course. Market participants will particularly focus on inflation trends and consumer spending patterns as key indicators of economic direction.

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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018