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Wall Street Bets Big: Will the US Jobs Report Trigger Jumbo Fed Cuts?

by Team Lumida
September 5, 2024
in Markets
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Photo by Tyler Prahm on Unsplash

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Key Takeaways

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  1. Wall Street anticipates jumbo Fed cuts based on upcoming US jobs report.
  2. A weak jobs report could justify larger-than-expected Fed rate cuts.
  3. Economic and market trends hinge on this pivotal jobs data.

What Happened?

Wall Street is placing significant bets on potential large Federal Reserve rate cuts, hinging on the upcoming US jobs report. Investors are closely watching the labor market data, which is expected to provide insights into the health of the economy.

Recent trends show that if the jobs report reveals weaker employment numbers, it could prompt the Fed to implement more substantial rate cuts to stimulate the economy. Analysts predict a drop in job growth, and any deviation from these expectations could lead to significant market movements.

Why It Matters?

The US jobs report serves as a critical indicator of economic health. Wall Street’s current strategy is based on the anticipation that weaker job numbers will compel the Federal Reserve to cut rates more aggressively.

Large rate cuts could lower borrowing costs, potentially boosting consumer spending and business investment. Conversely, stronger job growth might lead to smaller or no rate cuts, affecting stock prices and investment strategies. This jobs report could shape Fed policy decisions and market dynamics for the coming months.

What’s Next?

Investors should prepare for market volatility surrounding the release of the jobs report. If the data shows a significant downturn in employment, expect Wall Street to react with increased confidence in jumbo Fed cuts.

This could lead to a rally in stocks and bonds as borrowing costs decrease. However, stronger-than-expected job numbers might result in market disappointment, causing stocks to fall and bond yields to rise. Keep an eye on the Federal Reserve’s subsequent statements and any adjustments in their monetary policy strategy. The economic outlook and market trends for the rest of the year could pivot based on these job figures.


Wall Street’s anticipation and the potential for significant rate cuts make this a critical moment for investors. Understanding the implications of the upcoming jobs report can help you make informed decisions in a rapidly changing market environment.

Source: Bloomberg
Tags: Federal ReserveInterest Rates
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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018