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Citi CEO Sees Pickup in Dealmaking With US Recession Unlikely

by Team Lumida
September 11, 2025
in Markets
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Citigroup Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

"Citigroup Centre and Canary Wharf Tower in London, UK." by FromTheNorth is licensed under CC BY-NC-SA 2.0

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Key Takeaways

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  • Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser reports a rebound in merger and acquisition activity as U.S. companies gain confidence from clearer policy signals on taxes, tariffs, and deregulation.
  • Clients are increasingly active in capital markets, investing and dealmaking with renewed optimism.
  • Fraser expects the U.S. to avoid a recession but remains cautious about labor market conditions and other risks.
  • Volatility from global tariffs has boosted activity for Citi and other Wall Street firms.
  • The Middle East is forecasted to experience a decade of strong growth, driven by investment flows and new industries as Gulf states diversify away from oil.
  • Citi and other global banks are expanding their presence in the Gulf region, attracted by growing business ties with India and China.
  • The Middle East has become a hotspot for IPOs, with over $5 billion raised so far this year from Gulf issuers.

What Happened?

Jane Fraser highlighted increased dealmaking and capital market activity as U.S. companies respond positively to clearer economic policies. Despite some caution, she remains optimistic about the U.S. economy’s resilience. Citi is also focusing on growth opportunities in the Middle East, a region undergoing significant economic transformation.

Why It Matters?

Stronger dealmaking signals confidence in economic stability and growth prospects, benefiting investment banks and capital markets. The Middle East’s expanding financial markets and diversification efforts present new opportunities for global banks. Investors should watch for continued deal flow and regional growth trends.

What’s Next?

Monitor U.S. economic indicators and labor market data for signs of sustained growth. Track Citi’s and peers’ dealmaking volumes and Middle East expansion efforts. Investors should consider exposure to financial services benefiting from increased M&A and emerging market growth.

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

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