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China’s Metals Trading Web Unravels After Key Dealer Flees, Exposing Hidden Risk

by Team Lumida
February 2, 2026
in Markets
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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gold and silver round coins

Photo by Zlaťáky.cz on Unsplash

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Key takeaways

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  • Chinese metals traders have suffered at least ¥1 billion ($144 million) in losses after a major counterparty abruptly fled the country.
  • The fallout centers on a trading network tied to state-backed firms and alleged circular trading used to inflate revenues.
  • Lawsuits, seized copper stockpiles, and unpaid invoices are now surfacing across the sector.
  • Regulators are tightening oversight of state-owned commodities units amid fears of systemic financial risk.

What Happened?

A sprawling metals trading chain collapsed after dealer Xu Maohua — known in the market as “The Hat” — disappeared, leaving unfinished copper and metals transactions across multiple counterparties.

One of the biggest casualties is State Development & Investment Corp Ltd’s commodities arm, which allegedly used Xu’s network to boost reported sales through irregular deal structures.

Meanwhile, Guangdong Prolto Supply Chain Management Co Ltd has filed a lawsuit seeking over ¥200 million in unpaid shipments, while courts have frozen more than 3,000 tons of refined copper tied to the SDIC unit to preserve assets for potential claims.

At the core of the scheme, according to people familiar with the trades, were repeated buy-sell loops — where metals were circulated among related entities to create the appearance of revenue without genuine end demand.


Why It Matters

China’s regulators have spent years trying to stamp out circular trading inside state-owned firms, viewing it as a hidden source of leverage and market distortion.

This episode shows why:

  • Fake or inflated turnover masked real cash shortfalls
  • Factoring of invoices turned paper transactions into immediate liquidity
  • When one link broke, the entire chain collapsed

Losses now extend beyond traders to banks, factoring firms, and state-linked enterprises — precisely the kind of opaque risk Beijing has been trying to eliminate.

The scandal echoes earlier metals-market blowups involving fictitious inventories and leveraged trade finance structures that previously wiped out billions of dollars.


What’s Next?

  • China’s state-asset watchdog has ordered SOE trading units to review and shut down non-core revenue schemes
  • Liquidity in metals markets may tighten as state firms pull back from aggressive trading
  • Smaller traders could face rising funding stress as banks reassess counterparty risk

If enforcement accelerates, expect:

✔ Lower speculative volume
✔ More asset freezes and lawsuits
✔ Short-term volatility in industrial metals flows

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018