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AI Data Center Growth to Double Power Demand by 2030, Driving Reliance on Coal and Gas: IEA

by Team Lumida
April 10, 2025
in AI
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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AI Investment Boom: How Tech Giants Are Leading the Charge

"Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence" by mikemacmarketing is licensed under CC BY 2.0

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Key Takeaways:

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  • The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects that power demand from AI-focused data centers will double by 2030, driven by the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence technologies.
  • Renewable energy growth will not be sufficient to meet the demand patterns of data centers, leading to increased reliance on gas- and coal-fired power plants for baseload generation.
  • The U.S., the largest market for data centers, will rely heavily on gas, while China, the second-largest market, will continue to depend on coal, raising significant concerns about greenhouse gas emissions.
  • Some planned data centers are expected to consume as much power as 5 million homes, underscoring the environmental impact of the AI boom.

What Happened?

The IEA released a report highlighting the environmental challenges posed by the rapid growth of AI-focused data centers. Power demand from these facilities is expected to double by 2030, with the U.S. and China leading the global expansion.

While renewable energy capacity is increasing, particularly in Europe, the intermittent nature of wind and solar power makes them insufficient to meet the constant energy needs of data centers. As a result, gas-fired power plants in the U.S. and coal-fired plants in China are expected to play a dominant role in powering these facilities.

President Trump recently signed measures to expand coal mining and usage in the U.S., aiming to support the energy demands of data centers and revive the domestic fossil fuel industry.


Why It Matters?

The growth of AI-focused data centers highlights a critical tension between technological advancement and environmental sustainability. While AI is driving innovation and economic growth, the reliance on fossil fuels to power data centers could significantly increase greenhouse gas emissions, undermining global climate goals.

The U.S. and China, as the largest markets for data centers, will play a pivotal role in shaping the environmental impact of this trend. The reliance on gas and coal raises questions about the long-term sustainability of the AI boom and the need for cleaner energy solutions.


What’s Next?

The IEA’s projections suggest a wide range of potential outcomes for data center power demand by 2035, with estimates ranging from 700 to 1,700 terawatt-hours. This uncertainty underscores the need for investment in cleaner energy technologies and more efficient data center designs.

Policymakers and industry leaders will need to balance the growth of AI with efforts to reduce emissions, potentially accelerating the transition to renewable energy and exploring alternatives like nuclear power. The environmental impact of AI-driven data centers will remain a key area of focus in the coming years

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018