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Gold Drops 3% as US-China Tariff Deal Boosts Dollar and Eases Safe-Haven Demand

by Team Lumida
May 12, 2025
in Markets
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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gold and silver round coins

Photo by Zlaťáky.cz on Unsplash

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Key Takeaways:

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  • Gold prices fell 3% to $3,224.34 per ounce, hitting a one-week low, as the US and China agreed to slash reciprocal tariffs, reducing demand for safe-haven assets.
  • The dollar index surged over 1%, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
  • Analysts predict near-term volatility for gold, with potential declines to $3,200/oz as geopolitical risks ease.
  • Other precious metals also declined, with silver down 2.3%, platinum down 1.2%, and palladium down 0.9%.

What Happened?

Gold prices dropped sharply on Monday after the US and China announced a deal to reduce reciprocal tariffs by 115% for 90 days, signaling a de-escalation in trade tensions. The agreement, reached during talks in Geneva, aims to pause measures that had fueled fears of a global recession.

The dollar index rose more than 1% against its rivals following the announcement, further pressuring gold prices by making the metal more expensive for international buyers. Spot gold fell 3% to $3,224.34 per ounce, while US gold futures dropped 3.5% to $3,228.10.


Why It Matters?

The easing of US-China trade tensions has reduced the appeal of safe-haven assets like gold, as investors shift focus to riskier assets. The stronger dollar, driven by optimism over the tariff deal, adds further downward pressure on gold prices.

However, analysts caution that near-term volatility in gold prices is likely, as central banks may use this price dip to increase their gold reserves. Additionally, ongoing economic concerns, including the impact of higher tariffs on growth, could force central banks to cut interest rates later this year, potentially supporting gold prices in the medium term.


What’s Next?

Investors are closely watching the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, set to be released on Tuesday, for insights into the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy trajectory. A stronger dollar and reduced geopolitical risks could push gold prices lower, with analysts predicting a decline to $3,200/oz in the near term.

Meanwhile, other precious metals are also under pressure, with silver, platinum, and palladium experiencing declines. Traders should monitor central bank actions and global economic developments for further signals on precious metal trends.

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

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