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Guggenheim’s Bold Plan: How Millions of New Homes Could Be Built

by Team Lumida
July 18, 2024
in Macro, Real Estate
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Photo by Nelson Ndongala on Unsplash

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Key Takeaways: 

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  1. Jim Millstein proposes leveraging Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to lower construction costs.
  2. Plan aims to create a secondary market for construction loans, reducing developer expenses.
  3. Potential for millions of new homes to meet America’s housing demand within five years.

What Happened?

Jim Millstein, co-chair of Guggenheim Securities and former US Treasury official, revealed a plan to build millions of homes by leveraging Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Millstein’s strategy involves creating a secondary market for construction loans to reduce developers’ costs. He argues that current high interest rates have stalled housing developments, and his plan could counter this by providing cheaper credit.

According to Millstein, “If the government were to pass on its own relatively cheap borrowing costs… developers could build affordable housing.” The proposal aims to address the need for over 7 million new housing units in America.

Why It Matters?

Housing scarcity remains a pressing issue, with bipartisan support for solutions. Millstein’s plan could rejuvenate the US housing market, which has been hit hard by inflation and high interest rates. By lowering the cost of capital for developers, more housing projects could commence, easing the housing crisis.

This could also provide economic stability by insulating housing production from volatile business cycles. The Center for Public Enterprise supports this approach, stating that a national housing construction fund could reduce today’s higher rates’ burden on housing production.

What’s Next?

If implemented, Millstein’s plan could unlock significant housing production within a few years. The Federal Housing Finance Authority (FHFA) would need to develop a capital rule for construction lending, which the Treasury must approve. Millstein suggests that a revolving fund with $100 billion in mezzanine lending authority could generate 250,000 to 400,000 new units annually, potentially filling the housing shortfall over five years.

The plan could proceed even under the conservatorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, requiring administrative action and cooperation between Treasury and FHFA. Millstein believes there’s growing momentum to end conservatorship and enable these companies to operate more independently, facilitating this ambitious housing initiative.

By understanding these developments, you can better gauge potential impacts on the housing market and related investment opportunities. Keep an eye on how Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac adapt, as well as any regulatory changes from FHFA and Treasury.

Source: Bloomberg
Tags: Housing
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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018