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H&M Earnings Miss Expectations Amid Higher Discounts, Costs, and Supply Chain Disruptions

by Team Lumida
March 27, 2025
in Equities
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Key Takeaways:

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  • H&M’s Q1 net profit fell to 590 million Swedish kronor ($58.7 million), missing analyst expectations of 1.28 billion kronor, as sales rose 3.1% to 55.33 billion kronor.
  • Increased discounting, higher logistics costs, currency effects, and supply chain disruptions in the Red Sea negatively impacted profitability.
  • Gross margin dropped to 49.1% (below the expected 50.5%), while operating margin fell to 2.2% from 3.9%, missing the 3.8% forecast.
  • H&M is investing in nearshoring, supply chain flexibility, and digital services to regain market share and improve inventory management.

What Happened?

Swedish fast-fashion retailer H&M reported weaker-than-expected earnings for its fiscal first quarter (December-February), with net profit falling 52% year-over-year to 590 million kronor. Sales rose 3.1% to 55.33 billion kronor but missed analyst expectations of 55.86 billion kronor.

The company attributed the earnings miss to increased discounting during the Black Friday period, higher logistics costs, currency headwinds, and supply chain disruptions in the Red Sea, which extended transportation times and pushed inventory levels up by 9%.

H&M’s gross margin fell to 49.1%, below the 50.5% expected by analysts, while its operating margin dropped to 2.2%, missing the 3.8% forecast.


Why It Matters?

H&M’s results highlight the challenges facing the fast-fashion industry, including rising costs, supply chain disruptions, and intense competition. The company’s reliance on Asia for sourcing has made it vulnerable to extended transport times, but its investments in nearshoring and supply chain flexibility aim to mitigate these risks.

Despite the weak quarter, H&M remains optimistic about the second half of the year, expecting headwinds from discounting and logistics to ease. The company is also focusing on improving its product offering, enhancing digital services, and increasing marketing spend to regain market share.

For investors, the results underscore the importance of monitoring H&M’s ability to execute its turnaround strategy and navigate ongoing supply chain challenges.


What’s Next?

H&M expects sales in March to rise by 1% in local currencies compared to the same period last year. The company plans to continue managing supply chain disruptions while investing in nearshoring and in-season purchasing to improve inventory management.

Investors should watch for improvements in H&M’s gross and operating margins in the coming quarters, as well as the impact of its strategic investments on sales growth and profitability. Additionally, developments in global trade and transportation disruptions will remain key factors influencing H&M’s performance.

Source
Tags: EARNINGS
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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

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