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Home News Macro

Is a Recession Really Looming? Here’s What You Need to Know

by Team Lumida
August 6, 2024
in Macro
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Key Takeaways:

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  1. Current economic indicators show mixed signals about an impending recession.
  2. Consumer spending and job growth remain strong, but inflation and interest rates pose risks.
  3. Investors should monitor Federal Reserve actions and global economic trends closely.

What Happened?

The economy is sending mixed signals about a possible recession. Consumer spending remains robust, and job growth continues at a healthy pace. However, inflation rates are high and the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates to counteract this.

Recent data shows the GDP grew by 2.6% in the last quarter, defying some recession predictions. Unemployment stands at a low 3.5%, but wage growth has not kept pace with inflation, leading to concerns about future consumer spending power.

Why It Matters?

You might wonder why these mixed signals are crucial. Strong consumer spending and job growth suggest a resilient economy, which is good news for your investments in consumer goods and services.

However, high inflation and rising interest rates can erode purchasing power and increase borrowing costs. This could lead to decreased consumer spending and business investments, which are key drivers of economic growth. Understanding these dynamics helps you make informed decisions about your portfolio.

What’s Next?

Investors should keep a close eye on the Federal Reserve’s actions. If the Fed continues to raise interest rates to combat inflation, it could slow down economic growth, potentially tipping the economy into a recession.

Additionally, global economic trends, such as supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions, can impact markets. Monitoring these factors will be crucial in the coming months. Focus on sectors that historically perform well during economic downturns, such as utilities and healthcare, to hedge against potential risks.

Source: Wall Street Journal
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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018