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Porsche Cuts 2025 Guidance Again After $1.27 Billion Tariff Hit

by Team Lumida
July 30, 2025
in Equities
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Key Takeaways:

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  1. Tariff Impact: Porsche took a €400 million ($461.9 million) hit from U.S. import tariffs in H1 2025, opting not to pass costs to customers, contributing to a total $1.27 billion impact amid multiple challenges.
  2. Revised Guidance: The company lowered its return on sales forecast to 5%-7% from 6.5%-8.5%, and net cash flow margin to 3%-5% from 4%-6%, while maintaining sales guidance of €37-38 billion.
  3. Sales and Profit Decline: H1 sales fell 6.7% to €18.16 billion, deliveries dropped 6.1% to 146,391 vehicles, and operating profit plunged 67% to €1.01 billion.
  4. Broader Challenges: Porsche faces a slow EV market, fierce competition in China, and is scaling back EV ambitions to include combustion and hybrid models.
  5. Cost-Cutting Measures: The company plans to cut around 3,900 jobs by 2029 to improve efficiency and has booked €200 million in special charges in H1, including €500 million for battery activities and €400 million on tariffs.
  6. Outlook: CEO Oliver Blume expects positive momentum from 2026 onward despite ongoing global challenges.

What Happened?

Porsche has once again lowered its 2025 profitability guidance due to the impact of U.S. tariffs and other headwinds. The company absorbed significant tariff costs without raising prices, which, combined with a challenging EV market and competition, pressured sales and profits in the first half of the year.

Despite these setbacks, Porsche maintains its sales target but expects lower margins and cash flow. The company is undertaking job cuts and restructuring to boost efficiency and plans to diversify its vehicle portfolio beyond electric models.


Why It Matters?

Porsche’s results highlight the tangible impact of trade tensions on premium automakers, with tariffs directly affecting profitability and strategic decisions. The company’s cautious outlook reflects broader industry challenges, including the transition to electric vehicles and global competition.

The lowered guidance and job cuts signal the need for operational agility amid a rapidly changing automotive landscape, while the expectation of a rebound in 2026 offers some investor reassurance.


What’s Next?

Monitor Porsche’s pricing strategies and cost management efforts as it navigates tariff pressures and market competition. Watch for updates on EV portfolio expansion and how the company balances combustion, hybrid, and electric models.

Investors should also track global trade developments and their impact on automotive supply chains and profitability, as well as Porsche’s progress on efficiency initiatives and job reductions.

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
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