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Roche Beats Q1 Sales Expectations, Prepares for U.S. Tariffs with $50 Billion Investment Plan

by Team Lumida
April 24, 2025
in Equities
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Roche Beats Q1 Sales Expectations, Prepares for U.S. Tariffs with $50 Billion Investment Plan
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Key Takeaways:

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  • Roche reported Q1 sales of 15.44 billion Swiss francs ($18.58 billion), surpassing analyst expectations of 15.33 billion francs, driven by strong demand for key drugs like Ocrevus, Hemlibra, Vabysmo, and Xolair.
  • The pharmaceutical division grew 8% to 11.95 billion francs, while the diagnostics division remained flat at 3.49 billion francs due to pricing reforms in China.
  • To mitigate potential U.S. tariffs, Roche is ramping up production at U.S. manufacturing sites, transferring production of key products, and building inventory.
  • Roche plans to invest $50 billion in the U.S. over the next five years, joining peers like Novartis ($23 billion) and Sanofi in expanding U.S. operations amid tariff threats.
  • The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, forecasting mid-single-digit sales growth and high-single-digit core earnings per share growth at constant currencies.

What Happened?

Roche posted better-than-expected Q1 sales, with revenue rising to 15.44 billion Swiss francs, up from 14.39 billion francs a year earlier. The growth was driven by strong demand for its key drugs, including Ocrevus for multiple sclerosis, Hemlibra for hemophilia, Vabysmo for eye conditions, and Xolair for food allergies.

To address looming U.S. tariffs, Roche is taking proactive steps, including ramping up production at U.S. manufacturing sites, transferring production of key products, and building inventory. CEO Thomas Schinecker noted that four of Roche’s medicines account for 92% of its potential exposure to U.S. tariffs, though he declined to name the products.

Roche also announced plans to invest $50 billion in the U.S. over the next five years, following similar commitments from Novartis and Sanofi. Despite the U.S. focus, Roche emphasized that it has no plans to cut back on manufacturing in Europe or Asia and is also expanding its footprint in China.


Why It Matters?

Roche’s strong Q1 performance and proactive measures to address U.S. tariffs highlight the pharmaceutical industry’s growing focus on localizing production to navigate geopolitical and trade challenges. The $50 billion investment underscores the importance of the U.S. market, both as a revenue driver and a manufacturing hub.

The company’s ability to maintain growth in its pharmaceutical division, despite flat diagnostics sales, reflects the strength of its drug portfolio. However, pricing reforms in China and potential tariff impacts in the U.S. remain key risks.

Investors are also closely watching Roche’s clinical trials in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, early-stage breast cancer, and multiple sclerosis, as well as its $5.3 billion partnership with Zealand Pharma to develop a weight-loss treatment, signaling its push into the lucrative obesity market.


What’s Next?

Roche’s focus will remain on mitigating tariff risks, scaling U.S. operations, and advancing its clinical trials to sustain growth. The company’s ability to navigate pricing pressures in China and deliver on its full-year guidance will be critical in maintaining investor confidence.

The upcoming results from key clinical trials and the progress of its obesity treatment partnership with Zealand Pharma will also play a significant role in shaping Roche’s future growth trajectory.

Source
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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

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