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Home News Markets

Tesla’s Stock Plummets $400 Billion in Two Months, Analysts Warn of Further Decline

by Team Lumida
February 14, 2025
in Markets
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Photo by Tesla Fans Schweiz on Unsplash

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Key Takeaways:

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  • Tesla’s stock has shed approximately $400 billion in value since late 2024, driven by weakening sales across major markets and high valuations.
  • Analysts warn that the stock has not yet bottomed out, with potential for further declines of up to 12% in the near term.
  • Despite recent price rallies, Tesla’s valuation remains elevated at 119 times projected earnings, compared to the Magnificent Seven average of 30 and the S&P 500 average of 22.
  • Weakening fundamentals, including disappointing sales figures and delayed progress on autonomous vehicles, raise concerns about the stock’s ability to rebound in the short term.

What Happened?
Tesla’s stock has experienced a significant decline, losing about a quarter of its value in less than two months. This drop follows a period of rapid growth, during which the stock nearly doubled from early November to mid-December, driven by optimism about regulatory easing under President Donald Trump’s administration. However, the outlook for Tesla’s electric-vehicle (EV) business has deteriorated, with disappointing sales figures in key markets such as Germany, France, China, and California. Additionally, Tesla recently dialed back its expectations for vehicle-sales growth in 2025, further contributing to the stock’s decline.


Why It Matters?
Tesla’s high valuation, trading at 119 times projected earnings, reflects significant investor expectations for future growth. However, this valuation leaves little room for error, as any disappointment or slowdown in growth could lead to further declines. Analysts caution that the stock remains expensive relative to its fundamentals, with technical strategists predicting an additional 12% drop in the near term.

The company’s reliance on future innovations, such as its autonomous vehicle technology, adds another layer of risk. While Tesla has announced plans to launch its robotaxi service in June, there is limited visibility on progress until then, leaving investors without a near-term catalyst for a rebound.


What’s Next?
Analysts expect further weakness in Tesla’s stock in the coming months, driven by deteriorating sales and high valuations. The lack of a substantial trigger for a rebound, such as updates on autonomous vehicle development, leaves the stock vulnerable to continued selling pressure.

While some investors may be tempted to buy the dip, the high valuation and weakening fundamentals suggest that patience is warranted. Any significant rebound will likely depend on Tesla demonstrating tangible progress in sales growth, autonomous technology, and meeting its ambitious earnings expectations. Until then, the stock remains a high-risk, high-reward proposition for investors.

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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018