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Trump Shifts to Deal Mode With China Ahead of Trade Talks

by Team Lumida
July 25, 2025
in Macro
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Trump Delays Reciprocal Tariffs to August 1, Citing Progress in Trade Negotiations
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Key Takeaways:

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  1. Pivot to Dealmaking: After months of using tariffs to pressure China and reroute supply chains, President Trump is now prioritizing a broad economic deal with Beijing, aiming to open China further to U.S. business and technology.
  2. Policy Reversals: The White House recently lifted a ban on Nvidia’s AI chip sales to China and eased some export controls, signaling a willingness to negotiate and make concessions for a larger agreement.
  3. Tariff Leverage Remains: U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods remain high (30–50%), and the administration is pushing other countries to prevent Chinese goods from being rerouted through their markets.
  4. Talks and Timing: High-level negotiations are set for next week, with both sides seeking more time to reach a deal. A possible Trump-Xi summit could take place in the fall, and a tariff truce may be extended beyond the current Aug. 12 deadline.
  5. Mutual Interests, Lingering Doubts: The U.S. wants China to buy more American products and open its markets, while China seeks access to U.S. tech and investment opportunities. However, skepticism remains about whether China will make meaningful economic reforms or just offer short-term purchases.

What Happened?

As new trade talks approach, the Trump administration is shifting from a hardline tariff strategy to active dealmaking with China. The U.S. is encouraging Chinese purchases of American goods and technology, while relaxing some export restrictions. Both sides are working toward a broader agreement, but face challenges over enforcement, market access, and national security concerns.


Why It Matters?

A U.S.-China deal could ease global trade tensions, benefit American exporters, and stabilize supply chains. However, the risk remains that any agreement will be superficial, with China offering limited concessions while the U.S. relaxes strategic controls. The outcome will shape the global economic and geopolitical landscape.


What’s Next?

Watch for progress in next week’s talks, details on a possible Trump-Xi summit, and whether the tariff truce is extended. The scope and substance of any deal will be critical for markets, supply chains, and U.S.-China relations.


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Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018