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Trump’s Return Threatens to Disrupt U.S.-China Diplomatic Framework

by Team Lumida
December 28, 2024
in Macro
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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China ETFs Outshine Active Funds with 40% Annual Rise

Source: CNBC

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Key Takeaways:

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• Biden administration established ~24 high-level dialogue channels with China
• Trump’s previous term saw formal communication channels drop from 90 to near zero
• Treasury-led economic talks addressed critical issues including manufacturing overcapacity and Russia support
• Beijing’s preference for formal diplomatic protocols conflicts with Trump team’s direct approach

What Happened?

Under the Biden administration, U.S.-China relations have been managed through approximately two dozen high-level communication channels, with Treasury officials meeting Chinese counterparts roughly every other month. These channels, rebuilt after dropping to nearly zero during Trump’s first term, have addressed critical issues including economic policy, security concerns, and climate change. The Treasury Department has used these dialogues to address concerns about China’s industrial overcapacity and its support for Russia.

Why It Matters?

The potential dissolution of these formal communication channels could significantly impact global economic stability and bilateral relations. These frameworks have provided structured platforms for addressing critical issues like manufacturing overcapacity, financial stability, and geopolitical tensions. The contrast between Beijing’s preference for formal diplomatic protocols and Trump’s more direct approach creates uncertainty in how future conflicts might be resolved. This diplomatic shift could affect global markets, trade relations, and international security cooperation.

What’s Next?

Foreign policy analysts expect significant changes in U.S.-China communication under Trump’s second term. Beijing’s unsuccessful attempts to establish contact with Trump’s inner circle suggest challenging times ahead for bilateral relations. Key areas to watch include: potential new tariff implementations, the future of trade negotiations, and how both sides will manage economic and security issues without formal dialogue structures. The business community should prepare for increased uncertainty in U.S.-China relations and potential market volatility as new communication patterns emerge. Chinese officials’ resistance to Trump’s preferred direct communication style with Xi’s top aides could further complicate bilateral relations.

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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018