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Elon Musk’s NATO Comments Add Political Risk to Tesla Stock Amid Weak Sales

by Team Lumida
March 10, 2025
in Markets
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Photo by Tesla Fans Schweiz on Unsplash

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Key Takeaways:

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  • Elon Musk suggested the U.S. should exit NATO, sparking political controversy and adding risk to Tesla’s brand and stock.
  • Tesla’s sales in Europe and the U.S. have been weak, with Musk’s political statements potentially alienating left-leaning EV buyers.
  • Defense stocks in the U.S. have lost $37 billion in market value since November, while European defense firms gained $70 billion, reflecting uncertainty over U.S. defense commitments.
  • Analysts urge investors to focus on Tesla’s fundamentals, with Wedbush maintaining a “Buy” rating and a $550 price target.

What Happened?

Tesla CEO Elon Musk stirred controversy by suggesting on Twitter that the U.S. should exit NATO, arguing that it doesn’t make sense for America to fund Europe’s defense. This comes as NATO nations recently reached the 2% GDP defense spending target, while the U.S. spends closer to 3% of GDP on defense. Musk’s comments have added to the political risks surrounding Tesla, as the company faces weak sales in Europe and the U.S. and growing concerns that Musk’s political stances are alienating Tesla’s core customer base of left-leaning, environmentally conscious buyers.


Why It Matters?

Musk’s political statements are increasingly seen as a risk factor for Tesla’s stock, which has already fallen 45% from its all-time high. Investors are concerned that Musk’s divisive comments could harm Tesla’s brand, particularly in markets like California and Europe, where left-leaning consumers dominate EV purchases. Additionally, uncertainty over U.S. defense commitments has impacted broader markets, with U.S. defense contractors losing $37 billion in market value since November, while European defense firms gained $70 billion. This reflects shifting investor sentiment amid geopolitical tensions and Musk’s growing influence in Washington.


What’s Next?

Investors will need to monitor Musk’s political activities and their impact on Tesla’s brand and sales, particularly in key markets like Europe and the U.S. Analysts like Wedbush’s Dan Ives recommend focusing on Tesla’s fundamentals, maintaining a “Buy” rating with a $550 price target. Broader implications of Musk’s NATO comments could also affect defense markets, with U.S. contractors facing headwinds and European firms potentially benefiting from increased regional defense spending. For Tesla, rebuilding consumer trust and addressing weak sales will be critical to reversing its stock decline.

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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

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