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AMD Earnings Highlights: Strong Q2 Performance Driven by Data Center and AI Growth

by Team Lumida
August 2, 2024
in Equities
Reading Time: 9 mins read
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AMD delivered strong second quarter financial results, with revenue exceeding expectations and profitability increasing by double digits, driven by higher-than-expected sales of Instinct, Ryzen, and EPYC processors.

Top 5 Key Takeaways for Investors

  1. Data Center GPU revenue expected to exceed $4.5 billion in 2024, up from previous $4 billion guidance.
  2. MI300 quarterly revenue exceeded $1 billion for the first time, signaling strong AI traction.
  3. AMD is accelerating and expanding its Instinct roadmap, with plans for annual cadence of AI accelerators.
  4. Client segment revenue grew 49% year-over-year, driven by strong Ryzen processor demand.
  5. AMD expects significant revenue growth in the second half of 2024, primarily driven by Data Center and Client segments.

Summary

AMD reported Q2 2024 revenue of $5.8 billion, up 9% year-over-year, with data center and client processor sales offsetting declines in gaming and embedded products. Gross margin expanded by more than 3 percentage points, and EPS grew 19%. Data center product sales accounted for nearly 50% of overall sales in the quarter.

“We delivered strong second quarter financial results with revenue coming in above the midpoint of guidance and profitability increasing by a double-digit percentage driven by higher than expected sales of our Instinct, Ryzen, and EPYC processors.” – Lisa Su, Chair and CEO

Main Themes

  • Guidance: AMD expects Q3 2024 revenue of approximately $6.7 billion, up 15% sequentially.
  • Competition: AMD is positioning itself strongly against competitors in the AI accelerator market with its expanded Instinct roadmap.
  • New Product Announcements: AMD announced the MI325X AI accelerator and upcoming Turin server processors.
  • AI References: Significant focus on AI traction, with MI300 revenue exceeding $1 billion in Q2.
  • Market-moving Information: Data center GPU revenue forecast increased to over $4.5 billion for 2024.

Insights

AMD is rapidly expanding its AI capabilities through strategic acquisitions and investments. The company has invested over $125 million across a dozen AI companies in the last 12 months to expand the AMD AI ecosystem. The acquisition of Silo AI, Europe’s largest private AI lab, will significantly enhance AMD’s ability to service large enterprise customers and accelerate optimization of AI solutions.

Market Opportunity

AMD is targeting a broader range of customers in the AI and data center markets. The company is seeing increased adoption of EPYC processors by hyperscalers for internal workloads and public instances. The number of AMD-powered cloud instances from major providers has increased 34% year-over-year to more than 900, indicating growing market penetration.

Market Commentary

The AI compute market is experiencing rapid growth, with demand for more powerful accelerators increasing. AMD’s expanded Instinct roadmap, including the MI325X, MI350 series, and MI400 series, positions the company to compete strongly in this market through 2026 and beyond. The industry is also moving towards standardized approaches for building high-performance data centers at scale, as evidenced by the announcement of the Ultra Accelerator Link technology.

Customer Behaviors

AMD is seeing strong adoption of its EPYC processors across various industries. The company closed multiple large wins in Q2 with customers in financial services, technology, healthcare, retail, manufacturing, and transportation. Notably, more than one-third of enterprise server wins in the first half of 2024 were with businesses deploying EPYC in their data centers for the first time, indicating successful customer acquisition alongside expansion with existing clients.

Economy Insights

While specific economic commentary was limited, AMD noted positive demand signals for general-purpose compute in both client and server processor businesses. The company also mentioned that the server market appears to be improving, with a return to spending observed in both enterprise and cloud segments.

Industry Insights

The rapid advances in generative AI and the development of more capable models are driving increased demand for compute across all markets. This trend is likely to benefit not only AMD but also other players in the semiconductor and data center infrastructure industries. As evidenced by the Ultra Accelerator Link initiative, the industry’s move towards standardized approaches for high-performance data centers may impact system integrators and networking equipment providers.

Key Metrics

Financial Metrics

  • Revenue: $5.8 billion (up 9% YoY)
  • Gross Margin: 53% (up 340 basis points YoY)
  • Operating Income: $1.3 billion (22% operating margin)
  • Diluted EPS: $0.69 (up 19% YoY)

KPIs

  • Data Center Segment Revenue: $2.8 billion (up 115% YoY)
  • Client Segment Revenue: $1.5 billion (up 49% YoY)
  • Gaming Segment Revenue: $648 million (down 59% YoY)
  • Embedded Segment Revenue: $861 million (down 41% YoY)

“We now expect data center GPU revenue to exceed $4.5 billion in 2024, up from the $4 billion we guided in April.” – Lisa Su, Chair and CEO

Competitive Differentiators

  1. Industry-leading memory bandwidth and capacity in MI300 accelerators
  2. Expanded Instinct roadmap with annual cadence of AI accelerators
  3. Strong partnerships with key AI market makers
  4. Leadership in CPU performance and efficiency with Zen 5 architecture
  5. Ability to leverage both x86 and adaptive computing technologies in embedded solutions

Key Risks

  1. Intense competition in the AI accelerator market
  2. Potential supply chain constraints, particularly in HBM memory
  3. Cyclical nature of the gaming console market affecting semi-custom SoC sales
  4. Dependency on successful execution of new product launches
  5. Potential slowdown in AI investment cycle

Analyst Q&A Focus Areas

Analysts focused heavily on the MI300 ramp, its competitive positioning, and AMD’s ability to scale production. Questions also addressed the AI PC market, client segment growth, and the company’s long-term AI strategy. There was significant interest in the profitability trajectory of the data center GPU business and AMD’s ability to compete with established players in the AI accelerator market.

AMD Summary

AMD is well-positioned for significant growth in the second half of 2024, driven by its data center and client segments. The company’s expanded AI roadmap and strong traction with MI300 accelerators demonstrate its commitment to competing in the rapidly growing AI compute market. Investors should watch for the successful launch of Turin server processors, the ramp of MI325X accelerators, and AMD’s ability to expand its customer base in both enterprise and cloud markets. The company’s execution in scaling production and enhancing its software ecosystem will be critical factors in its success in the AI accelerator market.

Source: Seeking Alpha
Tags: $AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesEARNINGS
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Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
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