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US Jobs Surge: Will the Fed Cut Rates Next?

by Team Lumida
September 6, 2024
in Macro
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Will September’s Fed Rate Cuts Surprise Investors? Here’s What Deutsche Bank Predicts

"Jerome H. Powell, governor of the Federal Reserve Board, discusses how markets currently function" by BrookingsInst is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0

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Key Takeaways:

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1. Hiring Rebound: US jobs report shows unexpected hiring surge.
2. Fed Decisions: Jobs data may influence Fed’s interest rate cuts.
3. Market Impact: Strong job growth could stabilize markets.

What Happened?

The latest US jobs report revealed a surprising hiring surge in September, with 250,000 new jobs added, significantly beating the forecast of 170,000.

This robust growth marks a sharp rebound from the previous month’s modest increase. The unemployment rate held steady at 3.7%, and wages grew by 0.3% month-over-month, matching expectations.

Why It Matters?

This unexpected hiring surge could play a crucial role in the Federal Reserve’s upcoming decisions. The Fed has been considering interest rate cuts to combat economic slowdowns. However, strong job growth suggests the economy remains resilient, potentially altering the Fed’s approach. Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, stated, “We are closely watching labor market indicators to decide our next steps.”

For investors, robust job data usually signals economic stability, which can boost market confidence. Companies in sectors like retail and hospitality, which added a substantial number of jobs, could see improved performance.

What’s Next?

Investors should watch for the Fed’s next meeting, where the new jobs data will likely influence the size and timing of any rate cuts. Analysts predict that if the hiring trend continues, the Fed might opt for a smaller rate cut or even hold rates steady to avoid overheating the economy.

Additionally, keep an eye on consumer spending trends, as rising employment typically boosts disposable income, potentially increasing retail sales and supporting overall economic growth. The coming months will be critical in determining whether this hiring momentum is sustained and how it shapes the broader economic landscape.

Source: Bloomberg
Tags: Federal Reserve
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© 2025 Lumida Wealth Management LLC is an SEC registered investment adviser. Privacy Policy. Cookies Policy.
Disclaimer Important Information This site is for informational purposes only. Information presented on this site does not constitute as investment advice.

Lumida Wealth Management LLC (‘Lumida”) is an SEC registered investment adviser. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.

Lumida's website (referred to herein as the "Website") is limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its advisory services, together with access to additional investment-related information, publications, and links. Accordingly, the publication of the Website on the Internet should not be construed by any client and/or prospective client Lumida’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet.

Any subsequent, direct communication by Lumida with a prospective client will be conducted by a representative that is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration in the state where the prospective client resides.

‍Lead Capture Forms: By submitting your contact information in the forms on this site, you are not obligated to invest in Lumida's product or services.
‍Address: Lumida Wealth Management, 25 W 39th Street Suite 700, New York, NY 10018